Trefelin 4-0 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
15%
+3.9pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 12%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.17/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.39
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +12%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.01.2025 Trefelin Trefelin 1-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
10.08.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-3 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
17.04.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-1 HT 3-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
23.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
15.04.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
01.10.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin ran out comfortable winners over Cwmbran Celtic 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trefelin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trefelin and 1.50 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Trefelin 4-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 69%, draw 19%, Cwmbran Celtic 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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