Newport City 1-1 Ynyshir Albions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
27%
Draw
16%
+10.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.17/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.27
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City and Ynyshir Albions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newport City at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Newport City 1-1 Ynyshir Albions in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newport City 58%, draw 27%, Ynyshir Albions 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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