Ammanford 1-0 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.2pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
2.56/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford nicked a narrow win over Treowen Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Treowen Stars?

Ammanford 1-0 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 50%, draw 21%, Treowen Stars 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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