Pontypridd Town AFC 1-2 Cardiff Draconians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Aug 2025

Pontypridd Town AFC
1-2 HT 1-0
Cardiff Draconians
📅22/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cardiff Draconians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Cardiff Draconians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cardiff Draconians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff Draconians squeezed past Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Pontypridd Town AFC carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-2 Cardiff Draconians in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 60%, draw 24%, Cardiff Draconians 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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