Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.82
No
65%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.9pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-6 HT 1-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
02.11.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-3 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
16.03.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
25.11.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.12.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.09.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans nicked a narrow win over Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Hamrun Spartans made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 57% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 2.00 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 34%, draw 31%, Hamrun Spartans 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MALTP More MALTP
30 Apr 2025
19:30 Birkirkara vs Floriana Analysis →