Birkirkara 1-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 57%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-60% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Floriana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Floriana Floriana 0-2 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
21.12.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
07.11.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-3 HT 1-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.02.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-1
AWAY Floriana
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara and Floriana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Birkirkara had 44% of the ball to Floriana's 56%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birkirkara and 1.50 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Birkirkara 1-1 Floriana in the MALTP on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 32%, draw 23%, Floriana 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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