Koper 1-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2025

Koper
1-1 HT 0-0
Celje
📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.92/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.84
-24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
01.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
12.05.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
14.03.2024 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
17.09.2023 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
13.05.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-1
AWAY Celje
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Koper vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper and Celje shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Koper had 42% of the ball to Celje's 58%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Koper and 1.50 for Celje.

What was the final score of Koper vs Celje?

Koper 1-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Koper 37%, draw 23%, Celje 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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