Belouizdad 1-2 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.53
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.13
No
44%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.71
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
27%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-9.3pp
40%
Draw
34%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
43%
+13.4pp
44%
BTTS No
57%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
0W-4D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
05.07.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYRK
17.03.2025 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.10.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
24.04.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYRK
16.03.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger edged past Belouizdad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 40% / 34% — and on the day USM Alger made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Belouizdad and 0.67 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Belouizdad 1-2 USM Alger in the Algeria - National Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 26%, draw 40%, USM Alger 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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