Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
LKU
2-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Porteno
LKU
5-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
0-3
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
LKU
Cerro Porteno 1-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 34% of the ball to Palmeiras's 66%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.49 to 3.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 2.67 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteno 1-1 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 26%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.