Estudiantes 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.59/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.85
+150% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +56%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.0 Crosses 14.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.52 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 460
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
19.09.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.76 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
328 Passes 304
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Flamengo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 52% of the ball to Flamengo's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.76 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Flamengo?

Estudiantes 1-1 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 33%, draw 30%, Flamengo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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