Managua 2-4 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
2.10/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
+12% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
16.02.2026 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
02.11.2025 Managua Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
25.08.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
14.04.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-1 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
17.02.2025 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
2-4
AWAY Matagalpa
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Managua vs Matagalpa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Matagalpa beat Managua 4-2 away from home in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 30 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Managua had 49% of the ball to Matagalpa's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Managua and 1.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Matagalpa?

Managua 2-4 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Managua 53%, draw 19%, Matagalpa 28%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
30 Apr 2026
01:00 Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti Analysis →