Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.39
-24% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.02.2026 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
16.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
14.09.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 3-0 HT 3-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
08.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa cruised past Walter Ferretti 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jalapa and 0.83 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 46%, draw 27%, Walter Ferretti 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Under 2.5
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
30 Apr 2026
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