Jalapa 1-1 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -26%
1.25/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
-11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
16.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
14.09.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 3-0 HT 3-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
08.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
04.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa and Walter Ferretti couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jalapa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jalapa and 1.00 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Jalapa 1-1 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 41%, draw 26%, Walter Ferretti 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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