UNAN Managua 1-3 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.1pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.14/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.45
+44% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 4-1 HT 4-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.11.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
15.09.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 2-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
10.02.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
16.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
14.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco saw off UNAN Managua 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Export Sebaco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UNAN Managua and 3.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

UNAN Managua 1-3 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 36%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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