Export Sebaco 4-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.36
+17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
5W-0D-1L
AWAY UNAN Managua
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
15.09.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 2-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
10.02.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
16.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
14.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-1 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco cruised past UNAN Managua 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.33 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Export Sebaco 4-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 51%, draw 20%, UNAN Managua 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
23 Feb 2026
00:00 Diriangen vs Managua Analysis →
04:00 Matagalpa vs Real Esteli Analysis →