Kitara 2-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa The Market 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.79/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.05
-21% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
2W-2D-1L
AWAY SC Villa
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
26.04.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
07.01.2025 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
09.02.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
15.09.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-1 Kitara Kitara UGA
POST-MATCH Kitara vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara got the better of SC Villa 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kitara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kitara had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kitara and 0.60 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Kitara vs SC Villa?

Kitara 2-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kitara 39%, draw 31%, SC Villa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →