El Paso Locomotive 1-4 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.1 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
11.05.2025 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.10.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
01.04.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
05.05.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
10.10.2021 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 1-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-4
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.86 xG 2.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
330 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Tulsa ran out comfortable winners over El Paso Locomotive 4-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 30 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 51% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.86 to 2.91.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

El Paso Locomotive 1-4 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 48%, draw 25%, FC Tulsa 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ BTTS Yes
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