Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.7pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.00/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.15
-20% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Telmo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
31.07.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 HT 0-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
23.02.2025 San Telmo San Telmo 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
18.08.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 1-2 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
01.04.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.06.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
11.02.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-2 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano nicked a narrow win over San Telmo 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 1.00 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 49%, draw 26%, San Telmo 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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