Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 May 2026

Atletico Paranaense
1-0 HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
22%
4.24
X/2
5%
7.81
X/X
16%
3.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
6.73
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.8pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Paranaense v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.52
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
21.5 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.15 xG 0.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Paranaense edged past Mirassol FC 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 30 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 50% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.15 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol FC?

Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 28%, Mirassol FC 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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