Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gremio 1-3 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians beat Gremio 3-1 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 30 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Gremio had 41% of the ball to Corinthians's 59%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.50 to 1.89.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Corinthians?
Gremio 1-3 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gremio 38%, draw 29%, Corinthians 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5 went the other way.