Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 May 2026

Flamengo
3-0 HT 1-0
Coritiba
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Flamengo vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.03
No
43%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.6
X/1
24%
3.66
X/2
7%
15.35
X/X
6%
6.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
23.1
2/2
7%
13.7
2/X
4%
22.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 15% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-4.5pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.1pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
45%
+12.2pp
43%
BTTS No
55%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +33%
1.90/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.75
+10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.2 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Flamengo vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.48 xG 0.87
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
495 Passes 265
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 2-3 HT 1-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
16.04.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
06.11.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
17.07.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
17.06.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRK
11.06.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK

Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
3-0
AWAY Coritiba
1.46 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
588 Passes 334
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Flamengo vs Coritiba
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Flamengo ran out comfortable winners over Coritiba 3-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 30 May 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Flamengo had 62% of the ball to Coritiba's 38%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.86.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Flamengo and 0.50 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Coritiba?

Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 64%, draw 16%, Coritiba 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
30 May 2026
22:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol FC Analysis →
23:30 Gremio vs Corinthians Analysis →
23:30 Bahia vs Botafogo Analysis →