Hobro IK 3-2 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
7%
12.75
X/X
7%
6.87
2/1
6%
19.65
2/2
6%
9.79
2/X
7%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.25
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.7 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.35 xG 0.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
421 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2026 Middelfart Middelfart 0-6 HT 0-3 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
21.03.2026 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
27.07.2025 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN1
10.09.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-2 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
3-2
AWAY Middelfart
2.19 xG 1.87
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 513
26 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK squeezed past Middelfart 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.19 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Hobro IK and 0.75 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Middelfart?

Hobro IK 3-2 Middelfart in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 62%, draw 21%, Middelfart 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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