Middelfart vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middelfart v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals
Middelfart vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Middelfart 0-1 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics
Hobro IK nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Hobro IK made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Middelfart had 63% of the ball to Hobro IK's 37%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.42 to 2.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hobro IK's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Hobro IK.
What was the final score of Middelfart vs Hobro IK?
Middelfart 0-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Hobro IK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 35%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.