HB Koge 3-3 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

HB Koge
3-3 HT 2-1
Lyngby
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

HB Koge vs Lyngby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.3
1/2
8%
20.15
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
7%
10.9
X/2 EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
X/X
9%
6.24
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
1.92
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · X/2 at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Lyngby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.35/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.98
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
16.7 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

HB Koge vs Lyngby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lyngby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.55 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
261 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 4-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
26.09.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-4 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
04.12.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 3-3 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
17.09.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
11.04.2015 Lyngby Lyngby 1-3 HT 1-3 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
30.03.2014 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

HB Koge 3-3 Lyngby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
3-3
AWAY Lyngby
1.75 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
272 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge and Lyngby shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lyngby carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HB Koge had 41% of the ball to Lyngby's 59%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HB Koge and 2.33 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Lyngby?

HB Koge 3-3 Lyngby in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 20%, draw 22%, Lyngby 58%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyngby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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