Hillerod 1-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

Hillerod
1-0 HT 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.4
X/2
9%
5.23
X/X
12%
5.01
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
23%
3.13
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hillerod v Aarhus Fremad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.25/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.04
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
12.6 Crosses 23.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.03.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN2
04.09.2021 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod nicked a narrow win over Aarhus Fremad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hillerod found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hillerod and 2.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad?

Hillerod 1-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 33%, draw 26%, Aarhus Fremad 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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