Aalborg 1-0 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 May 2026

Aalborg
1-0 HT 1-0
HB Koge
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aalborg vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.04
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.51
X/2
13%
6.55
X/X
9%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
2/2
14%
3.96
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.52/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.50
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
16.6 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Aalborg vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY HB Koge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
445 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2026 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
02.10.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
10.08.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
03.12.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.09.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.11.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK

Aalborg 1-0 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
1-0
AWAY HB Koge
1.26 xG 0.34
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
522 Passes 337
30 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg nicked a narrow win over HB Koge 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalborg and 0.50 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Aalborg 1-0 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 42%, draw 25%, HB Koge 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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