Chapecoense vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Goias — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Goias
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Chapecoense
BR1
1-3
HT 0-2
Goias
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR1
Chapecoense 1-2 Goias — Actual Match Statistics
Goias nicked a narrow win over Chapecoense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Goias made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 37% of the ball to Goias's 63%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.57 to 1.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Goias's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chapecoense and 2.17 for Goias.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Goias?
Chapecoense 1-2 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Goias?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 32%, Goias 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.