Novorizontino 1-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
5.05
6+ Goals
10%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.2pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.37/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.36
-19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
25.1 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Amazonas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 354
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
19.06.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 0-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Amazonas
1.03 xG 0.90
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
502 Passes 146
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Amazonas shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Novorizontino at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Novorizontino had 72% of the ball to Amazonas's 28%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.03 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amazonas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Amazonas.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Amazonas?

Novorizontino 1-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 62%, draw 21%, Amazonas 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ BTTS No
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