Amazonas 1-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -12%
1.00/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.87
-15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.1 Crosses 25.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
361 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 4
9 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 0-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-0
AWAY Novorizontino
1.03 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
346 Passes 205
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas edged past Novorizontino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Amazonas had 58% of the ball to Novorizontino's 42%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Novorizontino?

Amazonas 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 42%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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