Ituano vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Guarani FC
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ituano
BREPAU
2-1
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Ituano
BR2
Ituano 1-0 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano nicked a narrow win over Guarani FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Ituano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Ituano had 54% of the ball to Guarani FC's 46%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.10 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ituano and 1.00 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Guarani FC?
Ituano 1-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ituano 40%, draw 29%, Guarani FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ituano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.