Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BREPAU
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BREPAU
Ponte Preta 1-0 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Ponte Preta squeezed past Botafogo SP 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponte Preta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Ponte Preta had 36% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 64%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
Ponte Preta 1-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 43%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.