Macara vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Emelec
EKV1
4-0
HT 4-0
Macara
EKV1
3-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
Macara 1-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Macara and Emelec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Macara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.
On the day, Macara had 56% of the ball to Emelec's 44%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.68 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macara and 1.83 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Macara vs Emelec?
Macara 1-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Macara 43%, draw 29%, Emelec 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara), BTTS No went the other way.