Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Santa Fe
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe edged past Independiente Medellin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Medellin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 67% of the ball to Santa Fe's 33%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.83 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellin 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 50%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.