Liepaja 4-0 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Jun 2026

📅30/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.66/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.64
-21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.3 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.17 xG 0.77
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
467 Passes 140
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2026 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 1-0 Ogre United LET
20.03.2026 Ogre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
4-0
AWAY Ogre United
3.75 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
375 Passes 252
49 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Liepaja vs Ogre United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Liepaja ran out comfortable winners over Ogre United 4-0 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30 Jun 2026. Half-time: 3-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, Liepaja had 57% of the ball to Ogre United's 43%, shots finished 23-17, expected goals 3.75 to 0.71.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liepaja have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Liepaja and 0.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Ogre United?

Liepaja 4-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 69%, draw 19%, Ogre United 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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