Rigas Skola 3-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Jun 2026

📅30/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-1.4pp
12%
Draw
11%
+0.9pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +27%
2.67/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.66
+30% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
42.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
26.9 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.99 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
542 Passes 216
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
21.03.2026 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.09.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-7 HT 1-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
09.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
3-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.28 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
456 Passes 274
40 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola got the better of BFC Daugavpils 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 58% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Rigas Skola 3-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 81%, draw 12%, BFC Daugavpils 7%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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