Rigas Skola 4-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
79%
-0.1pp
12%
Draw
12%
-0.2pp
8%
Away Win
8%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
2.70/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.51
+31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
42.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
27.4 Crosses 12.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3.10 xG 0.52
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
542 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-7 HT 1-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
09.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.57 xG 0.60
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
556 Passes 117
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past BFC Daugavpils 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 74% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 26%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.57 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Rigas Skola 4-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 79%, draw 12%, BFC Daugavpils 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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