BFC Daugavpils 1-7 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
54%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
8%
+15.2pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.1pp
54%
Away Win
77%
-23.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 81%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.93/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.69
-20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.4
13.4 Crosses 27.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.51 xG 3.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
195 Passes 518
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 48
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
20.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.04.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1-7
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.33 xG 3.46
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 9
230 Passes 548
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola swept aside BFC Daugavpils 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 33% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 67%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.33 to 3.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 3.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

BFC Daugavpils 1-7 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 23%, draw 23%, Rigas Skola 54%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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