Liepaja 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.49
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.9 Crosses 22.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grobina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
336 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
16.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 3-1 Grobina Grobina LET
26.10.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-3 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
03.08.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
29.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
18.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
2-0
AWAY Grobina
1.95 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja saw off Grobina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liepaja had 49% of the ball to Grobina's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.95 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liepaja and 1.33 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Grobina?

Liepaja 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 52%, draw 25%, Grobina 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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