Grobina 2-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
60%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 61%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.54
+102% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
18.5 Crosses 23.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.51 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
256 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 3-1 Grobina Grobina LET
26.10.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-3 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
03.08.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
29.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
18.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
10.07.2022 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
2-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.35 xG 2.34
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
133 Passes 326
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 39
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina beat Liepaja 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Liepaja carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Grobina had 34% of the ball to Liepaja's 66%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.35 to 2.34 — on chances, Liepaja could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grobina and 2.17 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Liepaja?

Grobina 2-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Grobina 21%, draw 19%, Liepaja 60%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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