Riga FC 2-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
81%
-16.8pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.79/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.53
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
46.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
31.6 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.86 xG 0.63
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
522 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
05.10.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.07.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
19.05.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-5 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
08.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-5 HT 2-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.01 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
434 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of FS Jelgava 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 64% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 36%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.01 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Riga FC and 1.33 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Riga FC 2-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 64%, draw 20%, FS Jelgava 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
10 May 2025
16:00 Grobina vs Liepaja Analysis →