FS Jelgava vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-5
HT 2-3
FS Jelgava
LET
1-3
HT 1-1
Riga FC
LET
FS Jelgava 1-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava and Riga FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 40% of the ball to Riga FC's 60%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.40 to 1.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 3.50 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?
FS Jelgava 1-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 15%, draw 18%, Riga FC 67%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.