FS Jelgava 0-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
65%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.95
No
51%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.1pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.8pp
65%
Away Win
84%
-18.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
30%
+19.1pp
51%
BTTS No
70%
-19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
0.71/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.74
-43% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.8
13.3 Crosses 31.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.72 xG 3.30
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
185 Passes 541
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 45
8 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
19.05.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-5 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
08.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-5 HT 2-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
25.06.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-2
AWAY Riga FC
0.61 xG 2.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 14
194 Passes 328
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC saw off FS Jelgava 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 40% of the ball to Riga FC's 60%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.61 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FS Jelgava and 3.67 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?

FS Jelgava 0-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 17%, draw 18%, Riga FC 65%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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