FS Jelgava vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FS Jelgava 0-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
Grobina edged past FS Jelgava 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 61% of the ball to Grobina's 39%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.17 for Grobina.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Grobina?
FS Jelgava 0-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Grobina?
Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 47%, draw 27%, Grobina 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.