Grobina 3-2 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.22/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
+48% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.0 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
287 Passes 267
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
29.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
06.03.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.11.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
23.08.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-3 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
16.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 4-2 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
3-2
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.31 xG 2.86
33% Ball Possession 67%
20 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
157 Passes 399
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina edged past FS Jelgava 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grobina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grobina had 33% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 67%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 3.31 to 2.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grobina and 1.50 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Grobina 3-2 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grobina 43%, draw 30%, FS Jelgava 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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