Rigas Skola 5-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.18
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
80%
-4.7pp
14%
Draw
13%
+1.3pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
2.65/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.51
+26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
43.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
27.8 Crosses 12.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.21 xG 0.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
536 Passes 208
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
45 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-7 HT 1-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
09.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
20.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
5-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.46 xG 0.77
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
526 Passes 265
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over BFC Daugavpils 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 65% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 35%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.46 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.67 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Rigas Skola 5-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 76%, draw 14%, BFC Daugavpils 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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