Grobina vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grobina v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Grobina vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Grobina 0-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja edged past Grobina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grobina had 44% of the ball to Liepaja's 56%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.76 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grobina and 2.00 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of Grobina vs Liepaja?
Grobina 0-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grobina vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Grobina 21%, draw 24%, Liepaja 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.