BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
79%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
32%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
7%
-0.2pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.0pp
79%
Away Win
79%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 84%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.87/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.72
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.1
13.0 Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.52 xG 3.11
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
223 Passes 549
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.03.2026 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.09.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-7 HT 1-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
09.05.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.35 xG 1.78
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
194 Passes 574
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 47
7 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola edged past BFC Daugavpils 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 31% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 69%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.35 to 1.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 4.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 7%, draw 14%, Rigas Skola 79%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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