Beitar 2-3 AEK Larnaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beitar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Larnaca EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
Crosses 12.4
Yellow Cards 5.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beitar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AEK Larnaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2026 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Beitar Beitar AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beitar
2-3
AWAY AEK Larnaca
28 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beitar vs AEK Larnaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Larnaca squeezed past Beitar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Beitar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 28-9.

What was the final score of Beitar vs AEK Larnaca?

Beitar 2-3 AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beitar vs AEK Larnaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beitar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beitar 46%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beitar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul 2026
17:00 Atletic Club DEscaldes vs Vaduz Analysis →
17:00 Tobol vs FK Panevezys Analysis →
19:00 Pyunik vs Debrecen Analysis →
19:00 Inter Turku vs Başakşehir FK Analysis →
19:00 Auda vs FCSB Analysis →
19:00 Ilves Tampere vs Stjarnan Analysis →