Derry City 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 35% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rijeka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2026 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka nicked a narrow win over Derry City 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Rijeka?

Derry City 0-1 Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Derry City 32%, draw 28%, Rijeka 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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