Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 49%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2026 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-4 HT 2-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
0-1
AWAY Neftçi PFK
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Minsk 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Neftçi PFK?

Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Neftçi PFK in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 33%, draw 22%, Neftçi PFK 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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